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Analyst predicts Bitcoin stability over growth for Q1 2026

Bitcoin struggles to maintain the 87,000 dollar level while trading volumes remain persistently thin due to limited participation from US desks

byEmre Çıtak
December 30, 2025
in DeFi & Blockchain, News
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Major alternative cryptocurrencies including Ether, ADA, and Solana declined on Tuesday amid thin trading volumes, while Bitcoin traded around $87,300, down 3% over the previous 24 hours, as traders focused on a price range between $80,000 and $100,000 due to absent catalysts and subdued U.S. participation.

Ether fell to near $2,950, reflecting the broader downturn among large-cap tokens. XRP traded around $1.86, also lower for the day. Most large-cap cryptocurrencies drifted downward in the absence of significant market drivers. Limited involvement from U.S. trading desks contributed to the lackluster activity, leaving volumes persistently thin.

Linh Tran, Senior Market Analyst at XS, provided insight to Coindesk via email on Bitcoin’s trajectory. “Bitcoin’s outlook for Q1 2026 leans more toward a scenario of stability and renewed accumulation rather than a strong growth phase at the beginning of the year,” Tran stated. This perspective anticipates a period of consolidation rather than aggressive upward movement early in the quarter.

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Tran elaborated on the expected price behavior. “Price fluctuations may remain within a range of approximately USD 80,000 to USD 100,000,” he noted. This range-bound forecast aligns with current trading patterns observed around the $87,300 level.

Underlying factors tempering momentum include several key elements, according to Tran. “Monetary policy is not yet sufficiently accommodative, ETF flows remain selective, and the regulatory environment is still in a phase of consolidation, all of which limit the market’s ability to rapidly enter a new bullish cycle,” he explained. These conditions collectively constrain the potential for swift bullish advances.

Current price action underscores a market challenged in drawing new risk capital. Many participants operate in preservation mode, prioritizing capital protection over aggressive positioning. Low volatility paired with uneven liquidity amplifies the impact of selling pressure. Modest sell programs suffice to breach intraday support levels, particularly during U.S. trading hours when tax-related and year-end book-cleanup flows concentrate.

Traders monitor Bitcoin’s ability to maintain the mid-$80,000s level heading into the new year. An alternative scenario involves another dip during thin holiday trading periods, potentially triggering a deeper price reset. Such a development would precede the return of improved liquidity and stronger market conviction.

Shifting to broader markets, Asian stocks ended a seven-day winning streak with a cooldown. Several regional markets concluded trading for the year on Tuesday. The MSCI Asia-Pacific index declined 0.1%, following Monday’s advance that marked its longest sequence of gains since September.

U.S. futures showed minimal movement after overnight sessions where the S&P 500 dropped 0.3% and the Nasdaq 100 fell 0.5%.

A gauge tracking global equities dipped for the first time in eight sessions. Despite this pullback, the index remains positioned for its strongest annual performance since 2019.

Gold and silver prices stabilized following retreats from recent record highs.

Copper continued its December rally, climbing as much as 2.2% to $12,493 per ton. This advance positioned the metal for a 10th consecutive daily gain, the longest such streak since 2017. A weaker U.S. dollar and fresh concerns over supply disruptions supported sustained positive sentiment. Copper futures have risen more than 40% over the course of the year, setting the stage for the metal’s largest annual increase since 2009.


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Tags: bitcoin

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